Blackjack newsletter and blackjack strategySubscribe to the Blackjack Insider newsletter

BLACKJACK TOURNAMENT E-BOOKS BY BJI AUTHOR KEN SMITH!
How to Win EVEN MORE Blackjack Tournaments - Volume II... only $14.95. Ken Smith's second e-book on tournament blackjack contains more of his winning strategies that have made him one of the best tournament blackjack players in the world.

Or, purchase both Volume I and Volume II together for $24.95... over 15% off!

NEW! Read how Ken used skill to win a recent blackjack tournament. Get his books and you could too!

How To Win EVEN MORE Blackjack Tournaments - Volume II
(web ads above removed with paid membership. Click here for advertisement rates)

A SIMPLIFIED HIGH-LOW COUNT SYSTEM THAT WORKS

by Dan Pronovost

Dan Pronovost is the owner and president of DeepNet Technologies, makers of a wide range of advantage gambling training products and software for Windows, iPhone and Android (blackjack, poker, craps). Their web site is: www.DeepnetTech.com, and most products are available for free trial download. Dan is also the creator of the popular and easy-to-use card counting system Speed Count.

I received an interesting question from a customer recently that I initially dismissed, then thought some more about it. Hereís a general summary of his e-mail:

"I use the High-Low count system when playing blackjack, but I donít convert to true count, since thatís hard. Instead, I just use the run count, and adjust my bet spread accordingly. Iíve been doing well with this methodÖ is it valid?"

My initial reaction was, "Bah! That canít work! High-Low is a balanced count system, and they essentially need conversion to true count to work! Run counts only work with unbalanced count systems like Speed Count or K-O".

Balanced and Unbalanced Count Systems

You might be thinking, "Whatís this gobbledygook about balanced and unbalanced count systems?" Well, systems like High-Low are designed to assign an equal number of cards the value of - 1 and + 1 so that by counting every card in a deck, you will end up with a count of zero. Unbalanced systems are designed differently. The count will tend to "drift" up during the play-out of a deck (or shoe). For example, with the K-O counting system, the 2-6 and the 7 is counted as +1 (and the 10s, picture cards and aces count -1); therefore, when you count every card in a deck, your final count will be +4. In other words, the run count will tend to drift upward as the cards are dealt. With Speed Count, the reason for the imbalance in the counting method is more complex, but since only the 2 through 6 cards are counted as +1, and the numbers of hands dealt is subtracted from your count, there is a mathematically tendency for the count to drift upwards as well (for more technical details, see the book, or this article).

It is this upward run-count trend of unbalanced count systems that makes them work so well. A big run count at the start of a shoe will have less "weight" compared to the same run count at the end of a shoe. Since the count will tend to drift upwards, a clump of cards that causes the count to go high will have you betting more when it occurs at the end of a shoe, instead of the beginning.

My customerís method of using the High-Low run count directly, without dividing by the number of un-dealt decks remaining (i.e., converting the running count to a true count), seemed suspect from the start. Nevertheless, with enough prodding from my good friend Henry Tamburin, I eventually set myself the task of simulating this personís method, using my blackjack software (http://www.deepnettech.com/bjbundles.html). And, as you will see shortly, the results were very surprising!

High-Low as a Running Count System

The customer was a bit vague on the details of how he played/bet, but his general approach was to only track the High-Low run count, and increase his bets mid shoe when the count was very high. He played a standard six-deck game with DAS and S17. In a six-deck game, a mid shoe true count of +1 is equal to a running count of +3 (this is the bet pivot, meaning the true count at which a player begins to have an edge over the casino). Therefore, I used the following bet spread for my simulations (more on the reasons for this particular spread are detailed below):

  • Run count < 3: 1 bet unit
  • Run count: 3: 2 bet units
  • Run count 8: 4 bet units
  • Run count 12: 8 bet units

To make things simple for comparison, I used no index plays, meaning I only used the basic playing strategy for a given set of rules. I also declined insurance all the time, since that depends on the true count as well. Lastly, I assumed 4 of 6 decks were dealt in every shoe (i.e., 67% penetration), and heads-up play. I ran exhaustive simulations in my Blackjack Audit simulator, using the regular High-Low count system, and this modified Running Count System version...

...enter your member login information below to read this article/newsletter...

Paid Members-Only Article

You have clicked on a link to a Blackjack Insider web page or article for paid subscribers. You must have a paid membership to the Blackjack Insider newsletter to view this content. About 1/2 of the articles in each issue of the Blackjack Insider are for paid members only, while the rest are viewable by everyone. Your purchased membership will allow you to read all Blackjack Insider articles for 12 months.

Enter your user name and password below (they were listed and e-mailed to you after you purchased your Blackjack Insider membership):

User name:
Password: (case sensitive)
Save user name and password in your browser so you don't have to type them again later

Forgot your membership id or password? Click here.

How do I get a membership?

A membership can be purchased online at our secure store with your credit card for only $19.95 per year. You will receive a user name and password immediately by e-mail which you can use to read the all past and future members-only articles for 12 months, as well as the regular free articles.

CLICK HERE TO PURCHASE A ONE YEAR MEMBERSHIP NOW... only $19.95

Do I have to buy a membership?

No. Blackjack Insider will continue to be published as a free monthly e-newsletter. But about 1/2 of the articles each month will be for paid members only. Subscribers without a membership can still view and read the non-members articles for free.

What happens after I buy a membership?

Immediately after you complete your purchase, you will receive a unique login user name and password. These are displayed on the final purchase page, and are e-mailed to you. When you click on a members-only article in our web site, you will be prompted for this user name and password (as shown above). Simply enter them, and enjoy the article! Note: make sure you turn on the checkbox above when you login, to save the user name and password so that you don't have to re-enter them every time you view members-only articles.

Why did you switch to paid memberships?

Blackjack Insider is a professional monthly publication with top-notch articles by world-reknown gaming experts. In addition, we have regular reporters that monitor game conditions and tournament schedules throughout North America. We use a partially paid subscriber model to enable us to continue getting the best content for our readers from leading authors on blackjack and gaming.

©2015, DeepNet Technologies. No material to be copied without express permission of DeepNet Technologies.
This site developed by DeepNet Technologies, Ontario, Canada. Contact webmaster @ bjinsider . com if you have problems.
This site is best viewed in a 800x600 graphics mode, or higher.