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BLACKJACK COUNTER SKILL QUIZ

JPB has been playing blackjack and counting cards part-time since 1996. He plays throughout the country but primarily in Missouri. He has been a Green Chip member of BJ21.com for four years and one-time winner of the Post-of-the-Month. JPB is a professional engineer with three engineering degrees and works as a consulting engineer.

Do you have the mathematical skills to be successful card counter? The test below is intended to assess your math skills with respect to card counting. The questions are based on probability calculations and general card counter rules of thumb. Questions are meant to be answered without looking at reference materials (closed book). Feel free to use a calculator but no computer simulation programs allowed.

Assumptions:

  • Blackjack rules/conditions are: double deck, dealer hits soft 17, double after split is allowed, double on any two first cards, and no re-split of Aces allowed.
  • Penetration is 50%
  • You do not have to make any efforts to disguise your skills as a card counter. You cannot be barred and no countermeasures will be taken.
  • Average of 3 players at the table
  • Table limits are $25-1000.
  • Your blackjack bankroll is $100,000
  • Assume you are using the Hi-Low counting system (2-6 = +1, 7-9=0, Aces & 10s= -1)

Questions

  1. Cards are all dealt face up. On the first hand after a shuffle, the dealer has an Ace showing and asks if you want insurance. Your cards are 9-7. The other player’s cards are: 8-8, 7-9, 8-7, and 6-3. Should you take insurance and why?
    1. No. You should never take insurance.
    2. No. You should only take insurance if you have a blackjack.
    3. No. You should not take insurance. The "running count" is only +1 meaning the true count is about +0.5. You only take insurance at a true count of 2.5 or greater.
    4. Yes. Take insurance based on the cards you see at the table.

  2. You are counting cards, perfectly- betting the appropriate amount each hand, varying your bet from $25-200, and deviating from basic strategy when the count warrants. Unfortunately, for the first hour you start playing, you go an entire hour without ever seeing a positive count. For this hour, your expectation is about:
    1. +$75
    2. +15
    3. $0
    4. -$15
    5. -$75

  3. You are counting cards perfectly- betting the appropriate amount each hand, varying your bet from $25-200, and deviating from basic strategy when the count warrants. Approximately how much should you expect to win after playing for 10 hours?
    1. $ 150
    2. $ 290
    3. $ 490
    4. $ 910

  4. For conditions described in #3, what is the likelihood that you will be in the black (winning money) after the 10 hours?
    1. 40%
    2. 50%
    3. 60%
    4. 70%

  5. Despite the relatively poor conditions (poor penetration and crowded table), a monster count comes up. There have been 25 low cards (2-6), 15 medium cards (7-9), and only 10 Aces and Faces dealt out. How much should you bet?
    1. $100
    2. $250
    3. $500
    4. $1000

  6. Same conditions as above, but this time, assume your bankroll is only $15,000. How much should you bet?
    1. $100
    2. $250
    3. $500
    4. $1000

  7. For the monster hand described above, what is your expectation for the hand if betting $500? About:
    1. $10
    2. $35
    3. $65
    4. $110

  8. For the monster hand described above, what is the probability you will win the hand?
    1. 51%
    2. 61%
    3. 71%
    4. 81%

Answers...

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