Blackjack newsletter and blackjack strategySubscribe to the Blackjack Insider newsletter

How to Win EVEN MORE Blackjack Tournaments - Volume II... only $14.95. Ken Smith's second e-book on tournament blackjack contains more of his winning strategies that have made him one of the best tournament blackjack players in the world.

Or, purchase both Volume I and Volume II together for $24.95... over 15% off!

NEW! Read how Ken used skill to win a recent blackjack tournament. Get his books and you could too!

How To Win EVEN MORE Blackjack Tournaments - Volume II
(web ads above removed with paid membership. Click here for advertisement rates)


by Kenneth R Smith

Tournament expert Ken Smith has appeared on all four seasons of GSN's World Series of Blackjack, and had several appearances on the Ultimate Blackjack Tour on CBS. He is the author of the e-book. How to Win More Blackjack Tournaments: Tips, Tricks, and Strategies to Supercharge Your Game. Ken hosts the popular website as well as the online tournament community at  You can subscribe to his free email newsletter at Ken also recently released his new pocket blackjack strategy cards, which are available in our BJI store.

For the past two months I have been publishing results of a study of an unusual tournament format intended to focus strictly on the benefit of various bet sizes. This month I'll wrap up the research with the results of all the questions posed in the original article. First, let's recap the format and the questions.

The "One Decision Tournament" is a tournament round where players must choose a single bet amount for the entire round. They must flat-bet that amount, and they must play normal basic strategy for every hand.

The details:

  • Rounds are 10 hands each, with betting in $5 increments from $5 to $500.
  • Starting bankroll is $500.
  • Six decks, S17, Double after split allowed, Split up to four hands except Aces which can be split only once and get one card on each. No surrender is allowed.
  • If a player has less than his designated bet size left (but more than the table minimum), he must bet his entire bank subject to the $5 increment rule.
  • If a player has too little left to double or split in full, he will play the hand without doubling or splitting.
  • Ties will be broken with sudden death, playing rounds until we have a winner. If players tie with less than the table minimum left, they will be advanced $500 each for the tiebreaker.

The research questions:

  1. What should the first player choose as a bet size, without knowing what his opponents will choose behind him?
  2. Assume the six players chose $5, $50, $100, $200, $300, $500 as their respective bet sizes. Who has the best chance of winning the round?
  3. Assume the first five players all chose $100 as their bet size. What should the final player choose as his bet size to have the best chance?
  4. Assume that the first five players all chose to bet the minimum $5. Now what should player 6 choose?

All of these questions were to be answered under 5 different circumstances:

A) 10 hand rounds, 1 player advances, Blackjack pays 3:2

B) 10 hand rounds, 2 players advance, Blackjack pays 3:2

C) 10 hand rounds, 1 player advances, Blackjack pays 2:1

D) 10 hand rounds, 1 player advances, Blackjack pays 5:1

E) 100 hand rounds, 1 player advances, Blackjack pays 5:1

Question 1:

Against a random field of bettors, how do the various bet size choices perform under each group's circumstances?

A1: $5 @ 21.99%

B1: $5 @ 47.93% (large percentage due to two advancing)

C1: $5 @ 19.62%

D1: $245 @ 17.97%

E1: $55 @ 22.58%

We see that the minimum $5 bettor does best against random fields, even when blackjack pays 2:1. However, once we bias the game heavily in the player's favor by paying 5:1 on blackjack, the larger bettors come out on top. With 10 hands in D1, we bet nearly half a max bet to maximize our chances. In the longer 100 hand rounds of E1, a smaller bet increases the chances that we'll live to see the benefit of a few blackjacks.

You can see the particular impact in the graphs of all possible bet sizes...

...enter your member login information below to read this article/newsletter...

Paid Members-Only Article

You have clicked on a link to a Blackjack Insider web page or article for paid subscribers. You must have a paid membership to the Blackjack Insider newsletter to view this content. About 1/2 of the articles in each issue of the Blackjack Insider are for paid members only, while the rest are viewable by everyone. Your purchased membership will allow you to read all Blackjack Insider articles for 12 months.

Enter your user name and password below (they were listed and e-mailed to you after you purchased your Blackjack Insider membership):

User name:
Password: (case sensitive)
Save user name and password in your browser so you don't have to type them again later

Forgot your membership id or password? Click here.

How do I get a membership?

A membership can be purchased online at our secure store with your credit card for only $19.95 per year. You will receive a user name and password immediately by e-mail which you can use to read the all past and future members-only articles for 12 months, as well as the regular free articles.


Do I have to buy a membership?

No. Blackjack Insider will continue to be published as a free monthly e-newsletter. But about 1/2 of the articles each month will be for paid members only. Subscribers without a membership can still view and read the non-members articles for free.

What happens after I buy a membership?

Immediately after you complete your purchase, you will receive a unique login user name and password. These are displayed on the final purchase page, and are e-mailed to you. When you click on a members-only article in our web site, you will be prompted for this user name and password (as shown above). Simply enter them, and enjoy the article! Note: make sure you turn on the checkbox above when you login, to save the user name and password so that you don't have to re-enter them every time you view members-only articles.

Why did you switch to paid memberships?

Blackjack Insider is a professional monthly publication with top-notch articles by world-reknown gaming experts. In addition, we have regular reporters that monitor game conditions and tournament schedules throughout North America. We use a partially paid subscriber model to enable us to continue getting the best content for our readers from leading authors on blackjack and gaming.

©2015, DeepNet Technologies. No material to be copied without express permission of DeepNet Technologies.
This site developed by DeepNet Technologies, Ontario, Canada. Contact webmaster @ bjinsider . com if you have problems.
This site is best viewed in a 800x600 graphics mode, or higher.